Unpacking the Error Term: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach for Locating Causality in War Onsets
Matthew Reichert, Miguel Garces, Ian S. Lustick
This poster was presented at the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting on August 29th, 2014 in Washington, D.C.
We attempt to build a multi-level agent-based model that combines micro-level interactions within an agent landscape and macro-level rationalistic decision-making processes. Adapted from James Fearon’s bargaining model of war, two agent-based landscapes attempt to bargain in order to avoid costly war. Without perfect information, war sometimes occurs and we investigate the potential landscape-level causes.
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