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Unpacking the Error Term: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach for Locating Causality in War Onsets

August 30th, 2014

Matthew Reichert, Miguel Garces, Ian S. Lustick

This poster was presented at the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting on August 29th, 2014 in Washington, D.C.

We attempt to build a multi-level agent-based model that combines micro-level interactions within an agent landscape and macro-level rationalistic decision-making processes. Adapted from James Fearon’s bargaining model of war, two agent-based landscapes attempt to bargain in order to avoid costly war. Without perfect information, war sometimes occurs and we investigate the potential landscape-level causes.

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If you are interested in replicating this experiment, please contact the authors for replication resources.

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  1. November 11th, 2014 at 21:19 | #1
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